Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.630679 0.705792 0.787276 0.882397 0.990589 1.110049 1.252252
2025-02-16 0.512899 0.615565 0.735983 0.888341 1.076943 1.303998 1.599918
2025-02-23 0.452099 0.568226 0.711686 0.903333 1.154731 1.476142 1.922769
2025-03-02 0.394441 0.513998 0.667852 0.882465 1.177426 1.573431 2.153560
2025-03-09 0.363486 0.488993 0.656453 0.899247 1.247268 1.735788 2.487119
2025-03-16 0.330135 0.456372 0.630107 0.890551 1.277794 1.843054 2.750753
2025-03-23 0.307361 0.435666 0.617380 0.898384 1.330789 1.985741 3.081664
2025-03-30 0.282343 0.409118 0.593261 0.885986 1.350468 2.077810 3.341219
2025-04-06 0.262523 0.388301 0.575371 0.880579 1.379156 2.185070 3.636187
2025-04-13 0.237442 0.357396 0.539439 0.843135 1.351828 2.197032 3.767420
2025-04-20 0.225976 0.346525 0.533452 0.852835 1.402456 2.343324 4.152432
2025-04-27 0.215942 0.337041 0.528709 0.863764 1.455538 2.498253 4.571349
2025-05-04 0.205167 0.325797 0.520596 0.868873 1.500026 2.644561 4.997648
2025-05-11 0.194935 0.314713 0.511904 0.872201 1.541642 2.790156 5.443013
2025-05-18 0.187694 0.308037 0.509995 0.887103 1.605566 2.984030 6.012857
2025-05-25 0.175165 0.291424 0.489671 0.866637 1.600125 3.041532 6.300289
2025-06-01 0.169580 0.286455 0.489345 0.883083 1.667622 3.251761 6.951614
2025-06-08 0.160661 0.274971 0.476495 0.874562 1.684319 3.358721 7.383198
2025-06-15 0.154775 0.268518 0.472276 0.882237 1.734440 3.541188 8.017508
2025-06-22 0.146614 0.257387 0.458619 0.870089 1.741888 3.631487 8.441204
2025-06-29 0.139952 0.248613 0.448789 0.864791 1.763291 3.754838 8.965394
2025-07-06 0.129841 0.232790 0.424528 0.828096 1.713024 3.709484 9.048280
2025-07-13 0.126008 0.228653 0.422576 0.837603 1.765940 3.909823 9.811603